A win against Sri Lanka will almost take India through to the Super Eight
Sri Lanka has made things relatively easy for India by the huge 198-run win against Bangladesh. The calculations go this way:
India versus Sri Lanka
Scenario 1 Sri Lanka bat first, make 260 odd runs , and India win, over to spare.
Sri Lanka's net run rate reduces from 4.59 to 2.99, while India's will also drop! marginally to 1.72.
Scenario 2 India bat first, score 265, and win by a margin of 2 runs
Sri Lanka's net run rate will be 2.98, while India's will be 1.69.
At this stage the Sri Lanka is assured of their berth in Super 8 while the contest will be between India and Bangladesh. For Bagladesh to qualify they will have to get past India's net run rate ..
Bangladesh vs Bermuda
Scenario 1 Bangladesh score 300, and restrict Bermuda to 120. Win by margin of 180 runs
Despite this big victory, Bangladesh's net run rate will improve only to -0.08.
Scenario 2 Bermuda are bowled out for 120, and Bangladesh achieve the target in 15 overs
Here, Bangladesh's net run rate will only improve to -0.7.
In any of the happenings, Bangladesh's net run rate will be less than India's net run rate and India can sail through. Provided India win against Sri Lanka
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1 comment:
Thats a good statistics .... India's loss to Bangladesh created a exciting situation ....making people to calculate each and every probabilities ....
God forbid, what if India and Sri Lanka's match ends up in a tie ??
Anyway All the Best for India ...i want to to see them in next round also ...
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